The Edge of the Frame

Tonight may be a competition, but I’ve never been interested in racing with my predictions. Every moment counts, but the buck’s got to stop somewhere. I went 20/24 last year, which I’m not sure I’ll ever be able to top again, but we’ll see…

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BEST MOTION PICTURE of the YEAR

WILL WIN: “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
MIGHT WIN: “The Shape of Water”
MY VOTE: “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Star Wars: The Last Jedi”

BEST DIRECTOR

WILL WIN: Guillermo Del Toro – “The Shape of Water”
MIGHT WIN: Christopher Nolan – “Dunkirk”
MY VOTE: Christopher Nolan – “Dunkirk
SHOULD BE HERE: Darren Aronofsky – “Mother!”

BEST ACTOR in a LEADING ROLE

WILL WIN: Gary Oldman – “Darkest Hour”
MIGHT WIN: Timothee Chalamet – “Call Me By Your Name”
MY VOTE: Timothee Chalamet – “Call Me By Your Name”
SHOULD BE HERE: Jeremy Renner – “Wind River”

BEST ACTRESS in a LEADING ROLE

WILL WIN: Frances McDormand – “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
MIGHT WIN: Saoirse Ronan – “Lady Bird”
MY VOTE: Frances McDormand – “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
SHOULD BE HERE: Jennifer Lawrence – “Mother!”

BEST ACTOR in a SUPPORTING ROLE

WILL WIN: Sam Rockwell – “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
MIGHT WIN: Willem Dafoe – “The Florida Project”
MY VOTE: Sam Rockwell – “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
SHOULD BE HERE: Michael Stuhlbarg – “Call Me By Your Name”

BEST ACTRESS in a SUPPORTING ROLE

WILL WIN: Allison Janney – “I, Tonya”
MIGHT WIN: Laurie Metcalf – “Lady Bird”
MY VOTE: Allison Janney – “I, Tonya”
SHOULD BE HERE: Michelle Pfeiffer – “Mother!”

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

WILL WIN: “Get Out”
MIGHT WIN: “Lady Bird”
MY VOTE: “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Wind River”

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

WILL WIN: “Call Me By Your Name”
MIGHT WIN: “Mudbound”
MY VOTE: “Call Me By Your Name”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Star Wars: The Last Jedi”

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

WILL WIN: “A Fantastic Woman”
MIGHT WIN: “Loveless”
MY VOTE: “N/A”
SHOULD BE HERE: “N/A”

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

WILL WIN: “Faces Places”
MIGHT WIN: “Icarus”
MY VOTE: “Strong Island”
SHOULD BE HERE: “One of Us”

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

WILL WIN: “Coco”
MIGHT WIN: “Loving Vincent”
MY VOTE: Meh
SHOULD BE HERE: N/A

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

WILL WIN: “Blade Runner: 2049”
MIGHT WIN: “Dunkirk”
MY VOTE: “Blade Runner: 2049”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Call Me By Your Name”

BEST EDITING

WILL WIN: “Dunkirk”
MIGHT WIN: “Baby Driver”
MY VOTE: “Dunkirk”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Mother!”

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

WILL WIN: “The Shape of Water”
MIGHT WIN: “Blade Runner: 2049”
MY VOTE: “Blade Runner: 2049”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Star Wars: The Last Jedi”

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

WILL WIN: “Phantom Thread”
MIGHT WIN: “Victoria and Abdul”
MY VOTE: “Phantom Thread”
SHOULD BE HERE: “I, Tonya”

BEST SOUND MIXING

WILL WIN: “Dunkirk”
MIGHT WIN: “Baby Driver”
MY VOTE: “Blade Runner: 2049”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Logan”

BEST SOUND EFFECTS EDITING

WILL WIN: “Dunkirk”
MIGHT WIN: “Blade Runner: 2049”
MY VOTE: “Dunkirk”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Mother!”

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

WILL WIN: “War for the Planet of the Apes”
MIGHT WIN: “Blade Runner: 2049”
MY VOTE: “Blade Runner: 2049”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Alien Covenant”

BEST MAKEUP and HAIRSTYLING

WILL WIN: “Darkest Hour”
MIGHT WIN: “Wonder”
MY VOTE: “Darkest Hour”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Bright”

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

WILL WIN: “The Shape of Water”
MIGHT WIN: “Phantom Thread”
MY VOTE: “Star Wars: The Last Jedi”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Blade Runner: 2049”

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

WILL WIN: “Remember Me” from “Coco”
MIGHT WIN: “This is Me” from “The Greatest Showman”
MY VOTE: “Mystery of Love” from “Call Me By Your Name”
SHOULD BE HERE: “Visions of Gideon” from “Call Me By Your Name”

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM

WILL WIN: “DeKalb Elementary”
MIGHT WIN: “The Silent Child”
MY VOTE: N/A
SHOULD BE HERE: N/A

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

WILL WIN: “Dear Basketball”
MIGHT WIN: “Garden Party”
MY VOTE: N/A
SHOULD BE HERE: N/A

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

WILL WIN: “Heroin(e)”
MIGHT WIN: “Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405”
MY VOTE: N/A
SHOULD BE HERE: N/A