Predictions for the 86th Annual Academy Awards

oscars-normal

Despite all of the detriments and shenanigans that have occupied (and in some instances, plagued) my life over the last few months, including those that have almost precluded me from even getting to watch the Oscars this year, I’d never miss the chance to offer up my official predictions. Check out what I think will take home the gold, as well as the cliched (but effective) spiel of what could possibly win, what I think should win and what wasn’t even nominated but definitely should have.

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BEST PICTURE

WILL WIN: “12 Years a Slave”
COULD WIN: “Gravity”
SHOULD WIN: “12 Years a Slave”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “Inside Llewyn Davis” AND “Short Term 12″

BEST DIRECTOR

WILL WIN: Alfonso Cuaron – “Gravity”
COULD WIN: Steve McQueen – “12 Years a Slave”
SHOULD WIN: Steve McQueen – “12 Years a Slave”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: Paul Greengrass – “Captain Phillips”

BEST ACTOR in a LEADING ROLE

WILL WIN: Matthew McConaughey – “Dallas Buyers Club”
COULD WIN: Leonardo DiCaprio – “The Wolf of Wall Street”
SHOULD WIN: Leonardo DiCaprio – “The Wolf of Wall Street”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: Tom Hanks – “Captain Phillips” AND Oscar Isaac – “Inside Llewyn Davis”

BEST ACTRESS in a LEADING ROLE

WILL WIN: Cate Blanchett – “Blue Jasmine”
COULD WIN: Judi Dench – “Philomena”
SHOULD WIN: Cate Blanchett – “Blue Jasmine”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: Brie Larson – “Short Term 12″

BEST ACTOR in a SUPPORTING ROLE

WILL WIN: Jared Leto – “Dallas Buyers Club”
COULD WIN: Barkhad Abdi – “Captain Phillips”
SHOULD WIN: Michael Fassbender – “12 Years a Slave”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: James Franco – “Spring Breakers”

BEST ACTRESS in a SUPPORTING ROLE

WILL WIN: Lupita Nyong’o – “12 Years a Slave”
COULD WIN: Jennifer Lawrence – “American Hustle”
SHOULD WIN: Lupita Nyong’o – “12 Years a Slave”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE – N/A (Again, I think this category is fantastic)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

WILL WIN: “Her”
COULD WIN: “American Hustle”
SHOULD WIN: “Her”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “Inside Llewyn Davis”

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

WILL WIN: “12 Years a Slave”
COULD WIN: “Philomena”
SHOULD WIN: “12 Years a Slave”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: N/A (I full agree with these nominations)

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

WILL WIN: “Frozen”
COULD WIN: “The Wind Rises”
SHOULD WIN: “The Wind Rises”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: N/A (Unfortunately, I just don’t care too much about this category. No offense, animators)

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

WILL WIN: “20 Feet From Stardom”
COULD WIN: “The Act of Killing”
SHOULD WIN: “The Act of Killing”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “Blackfish”

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

WILL WIN: “The Hunt”
COULD WIN: “The Great Beauty”
SHOULD WIN: “The Hunt”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: N/A (just haven’t paid enough attention to this category, this year)

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

WILL WIN: “Gravity”
COULD WIN: “Inside Llewyn Davis”
SHOULD WIN: “Inside Llewyn Davis”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “12 Years a Slave”

BEST EDITING

WILL WIN: “Captain Phillips”
COULD WIN: “Gravity”
SHOULD WIN: “Captain Phillips”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “The Place Beyond the Pines”

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

WILL WIN: “The Great Gatsby”
COULD WIN: “12 Years a Slave”
SHOULD WIN: “Her”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “Inside Llewyn Davis”

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

WILL WIN: “The Great Gatsby”
COULD WIN: “American Hustle”
SHOULD WIN: “American Hustle”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “42”

BEST SOUND MIXING

WILL WIN: “Gravity”
COULD WIN: “Captain Phillips”
SHOULD WIN: “Inside Llewyn Davis”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “Stoker”

BEST SOUND EDITING

WILL WIN: “Gravity”
COULD WIN: “All is Lost”
SHOULD WIN: “Gravity”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “Star Trek: Into Darkness”

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

WILL WIN: “Gravity”
COULD WIN: N/A
SHOULD WIN: “Gravity”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “Oblivion”

BEST MAKE-UP EFFECTS

WILL WIN: “Dallas Buyers Club”
COULD WIN: “Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa”
SHOULD WIN: “Dallas Buyers Club”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “12 Years a Slave”

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

WILL WIN: “Let It Go” from “Frozen”
COULD WIN: “Happy” from “Despicable Me”
SHOULD WIN: “The Moon Song” from “Her”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “Young and Beautiful” from “The Great Gatsby”

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

WILL WIN: “Gravity”
COULD WIN: “Philomena”
SHOULD WIN: “Her”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “12 Years a Slave”

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM

WILL WIN: “Get a Horse”
COULD WIN: “Feral”
SHOULD WIN: “N/A”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “N/A”

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

WILL WIN: “Helium”
COULD WIN: “The Voorman Problem”
SHOULD WIN: “N/A”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “N/A”

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT FILM

WILL WIN: “The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life”
COULD WIN: “Facing Fear”
SHOULD WIN: “N/A”
SHOULD HAVE BEEN THERE: “N/A”

Happy Oscar Day, everyone!

The 3rd Annual Edgy Award Winners

March 17, 2013 Leave a comment

The 3rd Annual Edgy Nominations

These are undoubtedly a little late, but better late than never. After some deliberation, here are the winners of this year’s Edgy Awards, along with the runners-up in each category. If you missed the nomination announcement, you can check all of them out here.

Enjoy:

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BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“Skyfall” featured in “Skyfall”

Music and Lyrics by Adele

Runner-Up: “Song of the Lonely Mountain” featured in “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”

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BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

“The Master”

Jonny Greenwood

Runner-Up: “Life of Pi”

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BEST MAKEUP EFFECTS

“Les Miserables”

Lisa Westcott and Julie Dartnell 

Runner-Up: “Lincoln”

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BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

“The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”

David Clayton, Joe Letteri, Eric Saindon and R. Christopher White

Runner-Up: “Life of Pi”

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BEST SOUND EFFECTS EDITING

“Looper”

Jeremy Peirson and Thomas Jones

Runner-Up: “The Dark Knight Rises”

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BEST SOUND EFFECTS MIXING

“Les Miserables”

Simon Hayes, Andy Nelson and Mark Paterson

Runner-Up: “The Dark Knight Rises”

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BEST COSTUME DESIGN

“Mirror Mirror”

Eiko Ishioka

Runner-Up: “Les Miserables”

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BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

“Lincoln”

Rick Carter and Jim Erickson

Runner-Up: “Les Miserables”

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BEST EDITING

“Zero Dark Thirty”

William Goldenberg and Dylan Tichenor

Runner-Up: “Argo”

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BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

“The Master”

Mihai Malaimare Jr.

Runner-Up: “Skyfall”

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BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

“The Imposter”

Bart Layton

Runner-Up: “The Invisible War”

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BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

“Lincoln”

Tony Kushner

Runner-Up: “Silver-Linings Playbook”

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BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

“Looper”

Rian Johnson

Runner-Up: “The Master”

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BEST ENSEMBLE CAST PERFORMANCE

“Lincoln”

Daniel Day-Lewis, Sally Field, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Jackie Earle Haley, John Hawkes, Hal Holbrook, Tommy Lee Jones, Bruce McGill, Tim Blake Nelson, Gloria Reuben, James Spader, David Strathairn, Michael Stuhlberg

Runner-Up: “Silver Linings Playbook”

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BEST ACTRESS in a SUPPORTING ROLE

Anne Hathaway – “Les Miserables”

Runner-Up: Sally Field – “Lincoln”

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BEST ACTOR in a SUPPORTING ROLE

Tommy Lee Jones – “Lincoln”

Runner-Up: Philip Seymour Hoffman – “The Master”

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BEST ACTRESS in a LEADING ROLE

Jennifer Lawrence – “Silver Linings Playbook”

Runner-Up: Emmanuelle Riva – “Amour”

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BEST ACTOR in a LEADING ROLE

Joaquin Phoenix – “The Master”

Runner-Up: Daniel Day-Lewis – “Lincoln”

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BEST DIRECTOR

Kathryn Bigelow – “Zero Dark Thirty”

Runner-Up: Steven Spielberg – “Lincoln”

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BEST PICTURE

“Lincoln”

Runner-Up: “Zero Dark Thirty”

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Well, that’s all for 2012, folks. I felt as though I could not focus on the the current year without first putting the finishing touches on the year before. We’ll see what comes of it. Stay tuned…

Final 2013 Oscar Predictions with Analysis

February 24, 2013 Leave a comment

AMPAS Monday Nights With Oscar Screening Of "Driving Miss Daisy"

Only a couple hours left to go. Below, you can see my predictions for this year’s Oscar winners, finally set in stone. I’ve included a bit of insight and reasoning for each category.

Make sure to also check back for live updates as the awards are announced.

BEST MOTION PICTURE OF THE YEAR

Will Win: “Argo”
Could Win: “Lincoln”
Analysis: This year’s Best Picture race is, without a doubt, the most upside down it’s been in recent memory. All logic (and good judgment) would point to “Lincoln,” as not only the year’s best film, but also the most nominated and a genuine perfect storm of concept and execution. However, the combination of a sweep of all four guilds, the BAFTA, the BFCA and the Globes, along with (and perhaps the cause of the former) the sympathy vote for Affleck and his lack of a Director nomination, one would have to be a fool not to predict it for the final showdown. I’ll keep my fingers crossed for an upset, but not my predictions.

Read more…

The 3rd Annual Edgy Award Nominations

February 23, 2013 Leave a comment

The 3rd Annual Edgy Nominations

I feel like there’s not much need to preface this. The format is pretty much the same as last year. These are the Edge of the Frame’s equivalent to the Academy Awards and represent what I believe to be the best achievements of the year in my own selection of categories.

It’s important to remember that while these are the third published set of awards, I have a record of my nominations and winners going back to the forties. Therefore, their total count of former nominations is accurate based on the films that I’ve seen. Also, aside from the performance and music categories, individuals former nominations and victories are listed only for the category that they are currently nominated in.

I don’t mind saying that I’m particularly fond of these choices, but if you disagree, join the conversation in the comments and let me know.

Here are the nominees for the 3rd Annual Edgy Awards:

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BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Ancora Qui
featured in “Django Unchained”
Music and Lyrics by Ennio Morricone (5th nom, 4 wins – “The Mission,” “Once Upon a Time in America,” “Days of Heaven,” and “The Good, the Bad and Ugly”) and Elisa (1st nom)

Breath of Life
featured in “Snow White and the Huntsman”
Music and Lyrics by Florence and the Machine (1st nom)

Skyfall
featured in “Skyfall”
Music and Lyrics by Adele (1st nom)

Song of the Lonely Mountain
featured in “The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey”
Music and Lyrics by Neil Finn (1st nom), David Donaldson (1st nom), David Long (1st nom) and Janet Roddick (1st nom)

Suddenly
featured in “Les Miserables”
Music and Lyrics by Herbert Kretzmer (1st nom), Claude-Michel Schonberg (1st nom) and Alain Boublil (1st nom)

Read more…

My 2012 Top Ten List

February 18, 2013 Leave a comment

It seems ironic and more than a little redeeming that around this same time last year, I ran my mouth off about 2011 being one of the worst quality years for filmmaking in some time. Well, the gods of cinema seem to have answered my prayers, for I don’t think I could have asked for a more diverse and memorable year. Just working on this list is a treat, and I hope so will reading it.

Without further adieu, let’s start with this year’s runners-up:

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dark_knight_rises_top_ten“The Dark Knight Rises”

Directed by Christopher Nolan
Written by Jonathan Nolan and Christopher Nolan

While living up to its predecessor was a bit too much to ask for, Nolan’s final chapter is still a head above any other comic book film in this year, or really any other. The new characters are sharp, the villains are brutal and the epic tale’s message is as poignant as ever.

 

 

Read more…

Oscar Winner Predictions: The Impossibility of Reason

February 14, 2013 Leave a comment

Argo_oscar_winner_predictions

I’ve taken somewhat of a backseat to much of this year’s Oscars and how they’ve unfolded. Maybe I don’t have as much time on my hands anymore, or perhaps I’m getting a little bit lazy. However, there’s also the immutable fact that this is, without a doubt, the weirdest Oscars I’ve ever bore witness to. Pundits like myself have bitched and moaned for years about the Oscar race becoming a predictable formality. Now, we’ve had so many wrenches thrown into the works that all of the precedents, reason and logic have just gone clear out the window. 2012 is the ultimate crapshoot.

Perhaps it’s a good thing, overall. Because while this year’s awards season has spiraled into an enormous whirlwind of indecision and confusion, I believe we can all find a consensus in the overwhelming class and quality that was on display in filmmaking during the past year. I can’t have enough good things to say about 2012 and I believe it will go down as shining star in the chronology of cinematic history, up there with the likes of 2001, 1980, 1976, 1960 and, of course, 1939. I also believe that, in some way, the less focus on awards and accolades, we can foresee that it’s ultimately the movies that we’ll remember decades from now, while fiasco over the gold will simply be an afterthought.

lincoln_oscar_winner_predictions

Nevertheless, at it’s roots, this is an awards site and it’s time to get down to business. Bottom line, the award for Best Picture (and more than a few others) was completely thrown for a loop the morning that the nominations were announced, when two of the year’s biggest heavyweights were absent from the shortlist. Ben Affleck and Kathryn Bigelow being left in the cold was perhaps the strangest occurrence in this category since Ang Lee and Ron Howard failed to receive nominations for their respective work back in 1995 (“Apollo 13″ and “Sense and Sensibility”). Yet, this may have overall worked in Affleck’s favor, for since that morning, every critic, actor, producer, director, grip, PA and their mother has seemed to fall head over heels for the film. At this point, it seems that enough voters will sway towards “Argo” for the Best Picture, out of sheer sympathy, more than anything else. It doesn’t hurt that it’s also a fantastically entertaining and uplifting piece that pulls at Oscar’s heartstrings like a toddler on a hoop earring.

Meanwhile, there’s a flip-side to every equation. “Argo” may have taken every award since that fateful morning, yet that doesn’t change the fact that the snub still happened. Affleck missing out on Best Director makes a huge statement. It has to be more than just a fluke or the notion of the Academy leaning so heavily on what the guilds have done in the past. Plus, while one can compare the strangeness of this year’s circumstances to ’95, it’s important to be reminded how that year turned out, with neither Lee or Howard taking home the big prize at the end of the night. For now, I’ll go with the odds-on favorite, but can easily see the winds shifting. This weekend’s WGA will may be a largely determining factor.

Alas, my first round of winner predictions for the 85th Academy Awards:

BEST PICTURE: “Argo”

alternate: “Lincoln”

Read more…

70th Annual Golden Globe Winners LIVE

January 13, 2013 Leave a comment

anne_hathaway_golden_globes

WINNERS

BEST PICTURE – DRAMA”

Winner: “Argo”

BEST PICTURE – MUSICAL/COMEDY

Winner: “Les Miserables”

BEST ACTOR – DRAMA

Winner: Daniel Day-Lewis – “Lincoln”

BEST ACTRESS – DRAMA

Winner: Jessica Chastain – “Zero Dark Thirty”

BEST ACTOR – MUSICAL/COMEDY

Winner: Hugh Jackman – “Les Miserables”

BEST ACTRESS – MUSICAL/COMEDY

Winner: Jennifer Lawrence – “Silver Linings Playbook”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Winner: Christoph Waltz – “Django Unchained” (barf)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Winner: Anne Hathaway – “Les Miserables”

BEST DIRECTOR

Winner: Ben Affleck – “Argo”

BEST SCREENPLAY

Winner: “Django Unchained”

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Winner: “Amour”

BEST ANIMATED FILM

Winner: “Brave”

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Winner: “Skyfall” from “Skyfall”

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Winner: “Life of Pi”

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